Forecasting the Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics

The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel (aka the Nobel Prize in Economics) will be announced on Monday, October 11, 2004. Of the 53 men who have won the award outright or shared in it since the prize began in 1969 (no woman has yet to win it), 35 have been Americans. The leading university homes of the winners include the University of Chicago (9), followed by Harvard (4), University of California-Berkeley (4), and Cambridge University, England (4).

Now, let's see how well you can forecast. I will award 2 bonus points to the first person who correctly forecasts the next winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics. Your educated guess must be posted as a comment to this blog before the Nobel Prize announcement is made. In the event that more than one person submit identical guesses, the earlier timestamp of the comment will determine the winner. The bonus points will be added to the winner's next exam score following the Nobel announcement on October 11.

[By the way, any comments made to this post do not qualify as part of the required components to your course grade.]