Sunday, October 31, 2004

Walmart to Blame for Health Care?

Critics have found another problem to blame on Wal-Mart, the country's largest employer. An abundance of Wal-Mart employees have been found to not be under health care or to be on Medicaid. The reason many of the employees are uninsured is because Wal-Mart either makes the eligibilty requirements too hard to meet, or because they made the monthly premiums too high for the average family to afford. Although Wal-Mart is being blamed for causing so many employees to go without insurance, they advertise themselves as a company that helps their employees out. Recently, Wal-Mart has run a television ad with a man claiming that his son survived because of Wal-Mart's health benefits. Is Wal-Mart really the cause of an abundance of employees being uninsured, or are the critics trying to blame Wal-Mart for yet another wrong doing?

Thursday, October 28, 2004

Sleepy Medical Interns

In recent studies they have found that medical intern students are working too many hours. The interns were hooked to machines to moniter them. They found that on average the interns nodded off around 5 times when working the long shifts. In 2003 interns were limited to 4 weeks with 80 hours a week. That is too many hours to be working. So far no deaths have been caused by mistakes due to the lack of sleep. Hospitals have now cut intern hours to 12 in surgery and 18 in medicine. What do you think needs to be done?

Wednesday, October 27, 2004

NHL Collective Bargaining news

The NHL's Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer Bill Daly has started a article to keep people updated on what is going on in the NHL NHLPA discussions. This will keep us all updated on the problems that are facing the owners and players. The fact that the NHL is not as popular as the 3 other major sports makes me think right away that hockey players shouldn't make as much but that is just me. The economic outlook for hockey players and owners is discussed pretty good in this article. Also, it points out some facts that the players are not looking at.

New Tax Loophole

Everytime one tax loophole is fixed, another one opens up. This new loophole is very interesting. I just wonder how long till this one is fixed and what could be next. Do you think this new trick to get out of paying taxes is fair?

Four Myths About Social Security

Social Security is a hot political (and economic) issue that is fraught with misperceptions and misunderstandings. Arnold Kling writes,

"The transition cost myth is one of four Social Security misconceptions that I want to address here. The others are the misconception that Social Security is a pension, the misconception that the Baby Boom is the main problem with Social Security, and the misconception that Medicare is in worse shape than Social Security. Although there is an element of truth behind each of these
misconceptions, what is reported in the press and believed by the general public is more myth than reality."

Read the full essay here.

Tuesday, October 26, 2004

Does Your Vote Really Matter?

While browsing on the web the other day, I saw this article called "Don't Vote: It makes more sense to play the lottery". Of course, with it being election time and all, I decided to read it. The author, Steven Landsburg, is trying to make a point that your vote doesn't really matter. He says in the election of 2000 when the vote came down to Florida, if any 1 of the 6 million voters would have stayed home, Bush still would have won because the only way your vote would matter is if the election in your state is within one vote of a dead-even tie. And even if that were the case, it would only matter if your state tips the balance in the electoral college. Steven Landsburg says,

"Imagine you live in Florida and the 6 million voters are statistically evenly divided—meaning that each of them has (as far as you know) exactly a 50/50 chance of voting for either Bush or Kerry—the statistical equivalent of a coin toss. Then the probability you'll break a tie is equal to the probability that exactly 3 million out of 6 million tosses will turn up heads. That's about 1 in 3,100—roughly the same as the probability you'll be murdered by your mother."

He also stated that,

"The situation is worse for people who live in New York state. Last time around, about 6.5 million votes were cast for major party candidates in New York state and 63 percent of them went to Al Gore. Assuming an electorate of similar size with a similar bias, my chance of casting the deciding vote in New York is about one in 10 to the 200,708th power. I have a better chance of winning the Powerball jackpot 7,400 times in a row than of affecting the election's outcome. Which makes it pretty hard to see why I should vote."

Does this really make sense? Does he have a point? So if people are so pressured to vote all of the time, especially teenagers and college students, is it really making a difference whether we vote or not? What if thousands or millions of people who would have voted decided not to, would it make a difference?

Monday, October 25, 2004

Oil backs off a bit

hey oil prices are dropping. Good news eh. Check out the link

End of the Ride

Disney CEO will quit in 2006 after 20 years at the top. Michael Eisner will step down as Walt Disney Co's chief executive when his contract expires in September 2006. Eisner has been through bruising corporate battles and a shareholder revolt that has hurt the company. Disney is a world wide name and with this annoucement of the CEO leaving by 2006 may have people questioning what will take place in the next two years. With Disney being such a giant parent company to companies like ABC and Fox Family Worldwide, what will this annoucement bring. With a CEO planning his departure what will the public and shareholders think, will people think differently. Will Eisner make foolish decisions knowing he is leaving or will he continue to work hard for company while he is there. If Eisner makes foolish decision in his final two years will it have a impact on the US's economy being such a big company linked to so many other large companies. What will the impact of this annoucement have on the economy.

Sunday, October 24, 2004

Tomato Shortage

Due to the recent hurricanes in Florida and the recent floods in California, the nation is experiencing a shortage of tomatoes which results in an increase in the price of tomatoes. Many restaurants are trying to find alternative means of preparing their dishes with less or no tomatoes. Wendy's has cancelled it's planned promotion of a new sandwich due to this shortage and is expecting to end this quarter in a loss because of it. In contrast, smaller restaurants who are also feeling the effect of the higher prices and lower quantity have decided to keep their prices the same within their menus because they fear they will lose their customers.

If you were a restaurant owner, which approach would you use in order to gain profit - increase your prices, cancel or modify certain menu options, or keep your prices the same in hopes of a higher quantity being purchased from you due to customer loyalty? Is there another option which would work best?

Thursday, October 21, 2004

World Series

The Yankees got beat lastnight in the ALCS by the Boston Red Sox. It is clear that the Yankees are the most popular team in baseball, even though other teams are catching up quickly. If you look at merchandise sales the Yankees are always at the top. My question is this. With the Yankees not in the World Series this year is this going to hurt the ratings in the Series? Obviously the Red Sox are popular too, but do they draw as many fans as the Yankees do? Also, because of the Red Sox winning the ALCS, and the Yankees struggles to win a World Series for awhile now will this cause merchandise sales to go a different way?

Wednesday, October 20, 2004

Economics and the Movies

CNN/Money staff writer Corrin Eckert offers an intriguing theory regarding the relationship between the state of the economy and the types of movies that reap millions at the box office or are rewarded 'Best Picture' at the Academy Awards. Eckert suggests that darker, depressing films succeed in times of recession, while brighter, uplifting films fare well when the economy is strong.

The 1970's support this claim. "The Godfather, Part II" and "One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest" were crowned 'Best Picture' in '74 and '75, during a period of severe recession. As America's economy regained its strength, the following two years gave the Oscar to "Rocky" and "Annie Hall," both uplifting, heartfelt films.

The article offers a slightly more recent example: the success of "The Silence of the Lambs" and "Terminator 2" back in 1991, two dark movies that were popular during "extreme economic anxiety and a wavering stock market performance."

But what about the time it takes to make a movie? Movies take an average of 2 to 3 years to create: unless the world is facing a long-standing crises (like a war, for example), a movie will most likely reflect what producers thought people were interested in 2 or 3 years before. Movie critic Peter Reiner states that most recessions do not last long enough to have a real impact on the content of a movie.

Entertainment and Media Analyst, Chris Dixon, says that audiences seek escapism when choosing movies, looking for not only entertainment, but also hope.

According to the CIA's website, "the years 1994-2000 witnessed solid increases in real output, low inflation rates, and a drop in unemployment to below 5%." This makes for a fairly healthy economy, and every film rewarded with the 'Best Picture' Oscar between '94 - '00 were uplifting pics, with the exception of '99's dysfunctional-family black comedy, "American Beauty."

Now consider these past three year's winners: "A Beautiful Mind," "Chicago," and "The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King." Did the content of these three films correlate with 2001 - 2003's economic conditions? Do you feel that Eckert presents a sound theory?

What if a sales tax were the only tax?

Most everyone would agree that income and payroll taxes are a pain in the neck, but what would happen if that system of taxation were gone? What if the only taxes were sales taxes?It may sound like a good idea initially, but, how would our government function without the revenue that other taxes bring in?
John Linder, a Republican representative of Georgia, thinks that it would be a good idea to use sales tax as the government's only form of taxation. Unfortunately, the government collected about $ 1.7 trillion in individual payroll and income taxes. So, we the tax payers are going to have to pay that money in some other way. If the government taxed everything, we would pay a 12% tax to make up for the $1.7 trillion lost. No big deal. But clothes and food probably shouldn't be taxed because it would discriminate against the poor. So, they say we should raise sales tax to 18% excluding clothes and food. After you look at all the sales tax exemptions, is it really worth it? Would simply using sales tax make life easier?
We should also look at how such a high sales tax would affect Americans spending habits. If sales tax is going to be 20% or more, most people will change their spending habits and cut back on things that are not absolutely necessary for survival. The tax is going to be an economical burden on both the sellers and the buyers, so sellers will be equally unhappy because they will be collecting less "producer surplus."
If we switched to a sales tax only system, it would ultimately hurt our economy. Now you're probably thinking that this could never happen. However, Bush said that it is "the kind of interesting idea that we ought to explore seriously." Maybe this system of taxation is possible.

Tuesday, October 19, 2004

More flu shots will be available in January

A while back someone had posted a blog on there being a shortage of flu shots. Now there is going to be a new shipment of 2.6 million vaccines from Aventis-Pasteur coming in January. President Bush said he was working with state and local officials to make sure we that vaccines get distributed to those who need it. The Demand was so high that something had to be done. Even though more vaccines are supposed to come in there still is a high demand for more. There is still a request that those who are in the "high- risk" group have access to the vaccine. Even though there are going to be 2.6 million more vaccines there is still a shortage, but this is better than before.

MLB Banding for Broadcast

Ah, this post goes out to those in The Economics of Sports. I ran across this article today and found it too interesting not to post.

Check the link out here, but I'll give you the short of it. It's been rumored through the grapevine that is corporate culture today, that Major League Baseball and XM radio have entered into an agreement. This agreement, beginning next year, would allow XM Radio the broadcasts rights to all MLB games. These rights would amount to a cash total of 470 million after 8 years, and could be exteneded an extra 3 years at a hefty price of 60 million per year.

here's a good example of the teams forming a 'cartel' to gain a league-wide agreement. Also, this ups the anty for Sirrus Radio, XM's biggest competitor. What's next for Sirrus, a metting with the NFL?

Ebay

Have you ever tried to win something on ebay, but only to be out bid by another person by only a few cents? Well that has happened many times while i was bidding on ebay. If you notice ebay is somewhat of a free market. I've noticed that most of the bidding is done in the last few minutes and seconds of an auction. I was thinking about selling stuff on ebay and would like to know what some ideas as to what you think would sell for about 3/4 thier original price or better.

"Price War in DVD Rental Fees"

I was just looking through the October 18th edition of the New York Times when I found an article discussing the up-and-coming "price war" on DVD rental fees. It originally talks about Netflix announcing that they are planning on lowering their subscription fee from $21.99 a month to $17.99. This would be two dollars below Blockbuster's monthly fee; Blockbuster responded by proposing to lower their fee from $19.99 to $17.49. The article adds later that Wal*Mart offers a similar service and Amazon.com may be jumping into the market. With all of these new 'firms' joining into the DVD Rental industry, will prices continue to fall? With a supply/demand curve in mind, if there is an increase in supply then there will also be an increase in quantity as well as a decrease in price. So, if all works out correctly, it looks to be that we are going to be facing a new, less expensive way of renting movies... over the net!

Monday, October 18, 2004

Two Economists Debate Market

Today on the front page of the Wall Street Journal there is an article that talks about two economist one named Eugene Fama and Richard Thaler. Apparently these two economists have been arguing about two different theories one being Efficient markets which in the article calls Mr. Fama the "intellectual father of the theory known as the efficient-market hypothesis." Mr. Thaler is said to be a "behavorists" which suggests that "policy makers have a important role in guiding the market." the reason that the article was written is that Mr. Fama as apparently suggested in a paper that he wrote that says some bad investments by people could "lead the market astray" which people are suggesting that Mr. Fama is giving some ground to Mr. Thaler and the "behavorists". I thought this article was rather interesting since we have talked in class about market efficiency and here they have one of the leading economists on the subject giving some new suggestions to the idea of efficient markets. As well as showing two big points with which economists have been differing on.

High Concert Ticket Prices this Summer, Low Concert Turnout

In an article (subscription required) dated October 11, 2004 in the Wall Street Journal, the concert industry is blaming creeping prcies for the slow sales of concert tickets this past summer. Ticket prices were unrealistically high causing revenue to be off as much as 40% compared with 2003. Concert promoters jacked up ticket prices because artists and their representatives demand so much money up front. In turn, agents say they can hardly be blamed for accepting the ever higher bids promoters make for their services. Musicians, too have been partly to blame because eventually greed is the driving force behind the artists asking prices. Another aspect of this situation is the artists are paid guarantees no matter how poor tickets sales are. The artists really do not have any financial risk. Another factor in this situation is CD sales are on decline causing royalty checks to the artists to decline. The only way to make this up, is to go on tour and raising ticket prices. The consumers who purchase the concert tickets are not going for the higher ticket prices especially when they are getting a mediocre seat for a price of $70 to $80. This could be seen as receiving an inferior good and being charged a normal good price. Also, concert tickets could be seen as elastic demand due to the quantity demanded is relatively responsive to changes in price. Personally, I haven't been to a concert for some time but I would have to say if I had to pay $70-$80 or more for a ticket to see my favorite group or artist, I would have to think twice about it. If prices were lower and seating was better, I wouldn't have a problem paying the money for the ticket because my marginal benefit would increase. As the law of demand states, demand will increase as prices fall. Maybe promoters and the artists should take an economics class to determine what the best solution would be to this problem!


Thursday, October 14, 2004

DC: The Right Place for the Expos?????

Some people in the DC area are opposed to a new team coming to their city. They belive that the money should be spent on schools and a hospital rather than a new waterfront stadium. Is this a good idea with opposition to bring the team to DC or should the MLB move them to another large market area? Could the city hope that the team makes them enough profits through the first few years and then start working on the schools and hospitals? What do you think?

Wednesday, October 13, 2004

The Presidential Debate: Health Care

While watching the presidential debate tonight, some comments by Presdient Bush on health care issues were reminiscent of topics discussed in class earlier this year. President Bush stated that the health care industry is behind in it's technology which is part of the cause of such high health care costs. If the United States were to introduce faster technology, there could be a 20% cut in the costs of health care. The introduction of increased technology reminded me of the Production Possibilities Curve. Increased technology would shift the curve outward and provide more health care resources for the United States.
A more controversial issue with health care is whether the government should become involved in providing health care for all citizens. I remember we discussed this in class, also. Government controls health care in many countries, such as Canada, however, the health care system is poorly run and minor operations have long waiting lists. Despite the advantage of everyone being provided with health care, government intervention in this area causes more problems and disrupts the economy more than helping it. The idea of government intervention has also come into play in our discussion of taxes, showing that when the government intervenes, the social welfare decreases. On the topic of health care, I think President Bush made a strong statement in the debate saying that health care decisions should be made by doctors and patients not government officials.

http://www.nationalcenter.org/WCT092404CanadianHealth.html