Forecasting the Winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics
The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Science in Memory of Alfred Nobel (aka the Nobel Prize in Economics) will be announced on Monday, October 15, 2007. Of the 58 men who have won the award outright or shared in it since the prize began in 1969 (no woman has yet to win it), 38 have been Americans. The leading university homes of the winners include the University of Chicago (9), followed by Columbia (4), Harvard (4), University of California-Berkeley (4), and Cambridge University, England (4).
Now, let's see how well you can forecast. I will award 2 bonus points to the first person who correctly forecasts the next winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics. Your educated guess must be posted as a comment to this post before the Nobel Prize announcement is made. In the event that more than one person submit identical guesses, the earlier timestamp of the comment will determine the winner. The bonus points will be added to the winner's next exam score following the Nobel announcement on October 15.
Enter your comment by clicking the comment button at the bottom of this post. If you are not a member of Blogger you must choose an Identity: choose "Other" and put in your real name. Click "Publish Your Comment" when done.
Now, let's see how well you can forecast. I will award 2 bonus points to the first person who correctly forecasts the next winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics. Your educated guess must be posted as a comment to this post before the Nobel Prize announcement is made. In the event that more than one person submit identical guesses, the earlier timestamp of the comment will determine the winner. The bonus points will be added to the winner's next exam score following the Nobel announcement on October 15.
Enter your comment by clicking the comment button at the bottom of this post. If you are not a member of Blogger you must choose an Identity: choose "Other" and put in your real name. Click "Publish Your Comment" when done.
5 comments:
My prediction is Jean Tirole, for his research in industrial organization and regulation.
My prediction is Jagdish Bhagwati.
My prediction is Gordon Tullock.
I believe that Elhanan Helpman of Harvard University and Tel Aviv University will win the Nobel Prize on October 15. He will be awarded the prize for his work in international trade.
My prediction is Roy Radner from NYU.
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